2010 № 1

Evolution of the cyclic nature of business activity and prediction of crises

Abstract:

A model of the cyclic nature of business activity has been developed to take into account the variation of the balanced growth of the economy and interaction of the economic cycles. This model has been verified against the statistical data for the actual GDP per capita in the USA over the period from 1790 through 2008.

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Gennady A. Grachev — Cand. Sci. (Phys. & Math.), Senior Researcher, Research Institute of Physics, Southern Federal University (Rostov‑on‑Don, Russian Federation; e‑mail: gga48@bk.ru).

JATS

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