2019 (16), №4

Methodology for Formation of “the Image of the Future” in Strategic Planning



For citation: 

Bochko, V. S., & Zakharchuk, E. A. (2019). Methodology for Formation of “the Image of the Future” in Strategic Planning. Zhurnal ekonomicheskoj Teorii [Russian Journal of Economic Theory], 16(4), 688-704


The article proposes to introduce “the image of the future” concept into strategic planning documents. At present, such a basic concept is not regulated by existing norms, although there is such a need. The evolution of views on “the image of the future” concept was examined using works by numerous scholars, from Aristotle to contemporary researchers. It is shown that the organising part of shaping “the image of the future” should be based on the logical formulation of new economic and socio- cultural technologies for combining the interests of various social groups and the society as a whole. It is established that “the image of the future” is a project work implying the creation of a unifying idea for the development of economic entities. Basic principles and approaches to the formation of “the image of the future” were determined. Stages in the formation of “the image of the future” were identified. An analysis of the development parameters of the city of Ekaterinburg, Sverdlovsk and Kurgan Oblasts showed that the genetic approach should be considered; however, it should not prevail in the development of “the image of the future”. The experience of the authors in defining and changing the image of a municipality was demonstrated on the example of the Verkhnyaya Pyshma urban district. The obtained results can be applied by public authorities and local governments in the development and updating of strategic development documents.

PDF full
Downloaded: 36

Vladimir Stepanovich Bochko — Doctor of Economics, Professor, Honoured Economist of the Russian Federation, Departmental Head, Department of Regional Competitiveness; Chief Researcher, Centre for Strategic Development of Territories, Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch Russian Academy of Sciences (Ekaterinburg, Russian Federation; e-mail: vbochko@mail.ru).

Ekaterina Aleksandrovna Zakharchuk — PhD in Economics, Associate Proffessor, Departmental Head, Centre for Strategic Development of Territories, Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch Russian Academy of Sciences (Ekaterinburg, Russian Federation; e-mail: zakhartchouk@mail.ru).

Aristotel’, (2018). Politika [Policy]. Moscow, Russia: Eksmo, 384. (In Russ.)

Bazarov, V. A. (1989). Principy postroeniya perspektivnogo plana [The principles of building a long-term plan]. In E. B. Korickiy (Eds.). Kakim byt’ planu: diskussii 20-h godov: Stat’i i sovremenny kommentariy [What to be a plan: discussions of the 20s: Articles and modern commentary]. Leningrad, Russia: Lenizdat, 224. (In Russ.)

Blioh, I. S. Voyna i ee ekonomicheskie posledstviya [The war and its economic consequences], available at: https://archive. org/details/budushchaiavona03bloc/page/n6 (accessed 8.10.2019). (In Russ.)

Gavrilyuk, T. V. (2016). Ponyatie «Obraz budushhego» v kategorial’nom pole fenomenologicheskoy psihologii [The con- cept of “Image of the future” in the categorical field of phenomenological psychology]. Obshhestvo: sociologiya, psihologiya, pedagogika [Society: sociology, psychology, pedagogy], 5, 57–59. (In Russ.)

Gegel’, G. (1959). Sochineniya. Fenomenologiya duha [Compositions. The phenomenology of the spirit]. Volume IV, Moscow, Russia: AN SSSR, 440. (In Russ.)

Glaz’ev, S. Ju. (2018). Usloviya i strategiya ekonomicheskoy mobilizacii v sisteme vosproizvodstva rossiyskoy go- sudarstvennosti [Conditions and strategy of economic mobilization in the system of reproduction of Russian state- hood]. Menedzhment i biznes-administrirovanie [Management and business administration], 2, 40–78. (In Russ.)

Dzhevons, Uil’yam Stenli (2014). Osnovy nauki: Traktat o logike i nauchnom metode [Fundamentals of Science: A Treatise on Logic and the Scientific Method]. Moscow, Russia: Knizhny dom «LIBROKOM», 744. (In Russ.)

Zheltikova, I. V. (2012). Perspektivy Rossii skvoz prizmu obrazov budushhego rubezha XIX-XX vekov [Prospects of Russia through the prism of images of the future turn of the XIX-XX centuries]. Uchenye zapiski Orlovskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Seriya: Gumanitarnye i social’nye nauki [Scientific notes of the Oryol State University. Series: Humanities and Social Sciences], 5, 85–93. (In Russ.)

Zheltikova, I.V. (2013). Obraz budushhego v interpretacii F. Polaka [The image of the future in the interpretation of Polak]. Sovremennye issledovanija social’nyh problem (elektronnyj nauchnyj zhurnal) [Modern studies of social problems (electronic scientific journal)], 3(23), available at: www.sisp.nkras.ru (accessed 03.10.2019).

Kampanella, T. (1954). Gorod Solnca [City of the Sun]. Moscow-Leningrad, Russia: AN SSSR, 228. (In Russ.)

Kara-Murza, S. G., & Patokov, V. V. (2010). Rossiya: tochka 2010, obraz budushhego i put’ k nemu [Russia: point 2010, the image of the future and the path to it]. Moscow, Russia: Obshhestvenny dialog, 116. (In Russ.)

Klauzevic, K. fon. (2002). O voyne [About the war]. Moscow, Russia: OOO «Izdatel’stvo AST»: Saint Petersburg, Russia: Terra Fantastic, V. 1, 558, V. 2, 574. (In Russ.)

Kondrat’ev, N. D. (1989). Plan i predvidenie [Plan and prediction]. In L. I. Abalkin etc. (Eds.), Problemy ekonomicheskoy dinamiki [Problems of economic dynamics]. Moscow, Russia: Ekonomika, 526. (In Russ.)

Kuz’minov, Ja. I. (Eds.). (1994). Obraz budushhego v russkoy social’no-ekonomicheskoy mysli konca XIX — nachala XX veka. Izbrannye proizvedeniya [The image of the future in n socio-economic thought of the late XIX — early XX century. Selected works]. Moscow, Russia: Respublika, 416. (In Russ.)

Bazaluka, O. A. (Eds.). (2011). Obraz cheloveka budushhego: Kogo i Kak vospityvat’ v podrastajushhih pokolenijah [The image of the person of the future: Who and how to educate in the younger generations]. Kiev, Ukraine: Kondor, T. 1, 328. (In Russ.)

Polterovich, V. (2007). O strategii dolgosrochnogo razvitiya dlya Rossii [On the strategy of long-term development for Russia]. Ekonomicheskaya nauka sovremennoy Rossii [Economic science of modern Russia], 3, 17–23. (In Russ.)

Tatarkin, A. I., Bochko, V. S., & Bersenev, V. L. (Eds.). (2016). Pronikaya v budushhee. Innovacionny portret Ural’skogo megaregiona [Penetrating into the future. Innovative portrait of the Ural mega region]. Ekaterinburg, Russia: Institut ekonomiki UrO RAN, 274. (In Russ.)

Starcev, A. A. (2018). Obraz budushhego i ekologicheskie imperativy ego voploshheniya v novom politicheskom cikle [The image of the future and the ecological imperatives of its implementation in the new political cycle]. Rossiyskiy ekonomicheskiy zhurnal [Russian Economic Journal], 4, 49–55. (In Russ.)

Animica, E. G., & Bochko, V. S. (Eds.). (2003). Strategiya razvitiya krupneyshego goroda: vzglyad v budushhee (nauchno-metodologicheskiy podhod) [Development strategy of the largest city: looking to the future (scientific and methodological approach)]. Ekaterinburg, Russia: 600. (In Russ.)

Hazin, M. L. Rossii ostro neobhodim svoj «obraz budushhego» [Russia badly needs its «image of the future»], available at: https://www.km.ru/v-rossii/2011/12/06/partiya-edinaya-rossiya/rossii-ostro-neobkhodim-svoi-obraz-budushchego (accessed 15.09.2019).

Chernyshevskiy, N. G. (2017). Chto delat’? [What to do?]. Saint Petersburg, Russia: Azbuka, 448. (In Russ.) Aalders, W. J. (1939). Toekomstbeetden van vijf eeuwen. Groningen: J. B. Wolters, 234.

Ortegon-Sanchez, A., & Tyler, N. (2016). Constructing a Vision for an ‘Ideal’ Future City: a conceptual model for Transformative Urban Planning. Transportation Research Procedia, 13, 6–17. DOI: 10.1016/j.trpro.2016.05.002.

Boulding, K. E. (1956). The Image: knowledge in life and society. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 175. Jaffe, E. D., & Nebenzahl, I. D. (2006). National Image and Competitive Advantage: The Theory and Practice of Country-of-Origin Effect. Copenhagen Busines School Press. 2nd edition, 235.

Polak, F. (1973). The Image of the Future. Elsevier Scientific Publishing Company Amsterdam, London, New York, 320.